Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #22
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
Delta Regional Rank #2
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.3%
Advance to State Finals 55.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
4  Christian Noble 12 15:30
21  Aaron Rush 12 16:05
343  Brandt True 12 17:17
496  Drew Bluethmann 10 17:34
504  Brian Bozymski 12 17:34
526  Brendan O'Bryhim 12 17:37
655  Ashton Jordan 12 17:46
Ayden Millspaugh 12 18:05
DateRace Rating
08/22 Bloomington North Early Bird 338
08/26 Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up 386
09/05 Manchester Invitational 339
09/12 Wildcat Classic
09/15 Muncie Central Invitational 429
09/19 Hancock County Championships 392
09/26 New Haven Classic 343
10/03 Hoosier Heritage Conference 419
10/10 Pendleton Heights Sectional 425
10/17 Delta Regional 392
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 331
10/31 State Finals 426




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 55.1% 17.1 410 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.0 4.9 8.0 11.3 12.0 8.3 3.8 1.0 0.1
Semi-State 100% 6.1 191 0.2 4.5 8.6 11.8 14.2 15.8 16.4 14.4 9.4 4.1 0.5 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 47 29.6 70.4
Sectionals 100% 1.7 41 30.0 70.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 100% 3.6 3.7 15.0 19.8 20.2 14.3 9.3 5.5 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Aaron Rush 99.3% 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.5 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.2 2.8 98.4% 99.3%
Brandt True 55.1% 159.3 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Bluethmann 55.1% 181.8 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Bozymski 55.1% 182.8 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan O'Bryhim 55.1% 185.2 0.0% 0.0%
Ashton Jordan 55.1% 192.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 100% 1.4 32.4 48.5 12.9 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Aaron Rush 100% 7.1 0.2 3.4 8.1 11.5 13.4 12.6 11.9 9.4 7.4 6.1 4.7 3.4 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brandt True 100% 69.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Drew Bluethmann 100% 96.6 98.5%
Brian Bozymski 100% 98.3 98.3%
Brendan O'Bryhim 100% 102.5 97.0%
Ashton Jordan 100% 116.9 88.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 100% 1.0 98.7 1.3 100.0%
Aaron Rush 100% 2.0 49.7 48.8 1.4 0.1 100.0%
Brandt True 100% 11.3 0.1 0.9 2.7 4.4 6.9 8.9 10.5 11.8 12.1 11.3 8.5 7.3 5.8 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Drew Bluethmann 100% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.4 6.3 7.5 9.1 9.7 10.7 10.1 8.5 7.4 5.6 4.4 2.7 1.9 100.0%
Brian Bozymski 100% 17.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.9 4.3 5.1 7.1 8.3 9.4 10.1 10.5 9.6 8.4 6.3 4.5 3.5 2.0 100.0%
Brendan O'Bryhim 100% 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.0 4.0 5.7 7.0 8.4 8.8 10.0 9.9 9.4 8.3 5.9 4.6 3.3 100.0%
Ashton Jordan 100% 22.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.8 4.1 6.0 7.3 9.0 10.6 10.1 9.4 8.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 1.0 98.8 1.2
Aaron Rush 2.0 49.4 49.3 1.3 0.0
Brandt True 9.3 0.4 3.1 6.2 10.2 11.5 14.7 14.8 12.3 9.9 7.2 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Drew Bluethmann 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.8 6.4 8.1 10.5 11.2 13.4 12.6 10.6 7.6 5.0 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
Brian Bozymski 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.5 5.3 7.9 9.7 11.9 13.0 13.0 11.1 8.3 5.2 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1
Brendan O'Bryhim 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.8 7.6 10.4 11.8 13.3 14.0 10.8 7.2 4.8 3.0 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.3
Ashton Jordan 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.3 4.8 7.1 10.5 14.6 14.7 12.4 10.0 6.8 5.0 3.4 2.2